The wisdom of crowds and overcoming fear

Actually, it's more like the wisdom of the many,

Photo: James Surowiecki
© James Duncan Davidson USA
(Original title: The Wisdom of Crowds. Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations. Book by James Surowiecki),

but I once deliberately used the word mass. May be between many and mass is a very big difference.

In his research, Surowiecki demonstrates how much better decisions can be decisions a group can make. If this was not the case, in his view, this was because the group members listened too much listening too much to other people's views and emulating them, instead of making up their own minds about the situation and differentiating.

This would confirm my thesis that a good democracy requires a correspondingly high level of awareness among the citizens among citizens.

This brings us closer to the difference between the many and the masses. Aren't we also talking about the dull masses? Is this just a lack of consciousness or perhaps also misguided consciousness?

Let's approach it from a different angle.

Imagine the following test. You put several piles of cards stacks of cards on the table. They were asked to choose from the piles cards and to recognize a system. The cards were linked with losing or winning money.

The first stack offered high profit opportunities but high losses in the long term. high losses, the second offered low winning opportunities and losses in the long term, only the third stack led to long-term to long-term profits.

The results showed that some test subjects recognized the system after revealing of 30 cards, a large percentage recognized the system after 50 cards, but almost all after 70 cards.

Dann führte man die gleichen Tests mit einer Änderung durch. Man schloss die Testpersonen an einen Lügendetektor an. An den “bewussten” Ergebnissen änderte dies natürlich nichtsDoch bereits bei der 10 gezogenen Karte gab es Ausschläge beim Detektor. 10 Karten aufdecken war mathematisch gesehen die Mindestzahl, die man braucht, um das Kartensystem zu erkennen!

This means that the subconscious (which simultaneously takes in up to up to 40 million impulses at the same time, while the conscious mind only manages 4000), recognizes the truth much faster recognized.

Nur dauert es unterschiedlich lange, bis das jeweilige “Oberbewusstsein” diese Information wahrnimmt bzw. für wahr nimmt. Dies spricht dafür, dass es grundsätzlich wohl die Weisheit der Vielen gibt, denn das kollektive Unterbewusstsein funktioniert dann eben entsprechend gut.

But if we no longer have access to the perception of our own subconscious (our own intuition?), then it no longer works as Surowiecki describes it. no longer works, as Surowiecki describes it.

Why do we not perceive ourselves? 

Mal abgesehen von ernsthaften Krankheiten oder Defekten, wohl nur, weil wir “aus unserer Mitte” gefallen sind, “neben uns stehen” und das beruht meist auf Angst.




Why these explanations?

Weil ich, aus meiner Erfahrung heraus, den Großteil meiner Erfolge darauf zurückführe, dass ich in Teams durch “Angstbewältigung” die positiven Aspekte des kollektiven Unterbewussten nutzbar machte und so Erfolge erreichte, die ich allein durch eigenes Wissen und Anordnung nie hätte schaffen können.

A country's prosperity would be much easier to achieve if the press, bosses and parents refrained from scaremongering.

But each of us has the opportunity to do something for ourselves, to surround ourselves with fearless people, to stay away from fear-inducing media.

Let us encourage ourselves and others to confidently shape a better world.

Sincerely

Wolfgang Sonnenburg
winning for life
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